Jonathan Handel at Digital Media Law, long close to the moderate faction of SAG and a friend of the new SAG NED David White, is quoting a source from Unite for Strength, the key group inside the moderate wing of SAG, as saying a strike by SAG is “difficult to envision.”
I had written here just after the fall SAG elections that a strike was unlikely and that the membership’s votes for moderate leaders at SAG and the WGA reinforced that position.
But I had hardly expected moderate leaders of SAG to leak the possibility that they too are moving away from the possibility of a strike.
This reinforces another argument I have made: that there is no serious strategic thinking taking place inside SAG and that that would undermine their bargaining power significantly leading to, at best, modest gains in the upcoming fall and spring contract talks.
This development can be paired with the news that despite the argument of NED White and UFS leaders that the best they could do when they took control of SAG a year ago was sign the deal on offer from the Producers. Turns out that the studios have had a record box office year, finishing up with Avatar. Only Goldman Sachs and those “fat cat bankers” as the President calls them have done better.
But UFS bought the “woe is me” arguments of the studios and caved quickly after taking office.
Now they seem to be taking the strike card off the table even before the bargaining begins. Strange.